Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.013037 0.015174 0.017537 0.020340 0.023572 0.027181 0.031514
2025-12-28 0.010250 0.013113 0.016568 0.021040 0.026664 0.033496 0.042417
2026-01-04 0.008223 0.011419 0.015584 0.021392 0.029259 0.039525 0.053916
2026-01-11 0.006438 0.009620 0.014060 0.020674 0.030241 0.043536 0.063365
2026-01-18 0.005265 0.008402 0.013054 0.020405 0.031674 0.048224 0.074293
2026-01-25 0.004306 0.007299 0.011991 0.019815 0.032455 0.051974 0.084263
2026-02-01 0.003603 0.006456 0.011163 0.019408 0.033383 0.055965 0.095017
2026-02-08 0.003082 0.005815 0.010542 0.019206 0.034553 0.060407 0.106967
2026-02-15 0.002614 0.005178 0.009817 0.018690 0.035074 0.063773 0.117455
2026-02-22 0.002401 0.004972 0.009817 0.019453 0.037922 0.071432 0.136285
2026-03-01 0.002120 0.004586 0.009421 0.019404 0.039245 0.076489 0.150975
2026-03-08 0.001810 0.004087 0.008726 0.018667 0.039136 0.078847 0.160841
2026-03-15 0.001591 0.003746 0.008309 0.018446 0.040055 0.083354 0.175579
2026-03-22 0.001505 0.003686 0.008466 0.019447 0.043608 0.093469 0.202725
2026-03-29 0.001389 0.003535 0.008406 0.019967 0.046213 0.101964 0.227567
2026-04-05 0.001210 0.003203 0.007891 0.019394 0.046351 0.105316 0.241945
2026-04-12 0.001080 0.002967 0.007559 0.019192 0.047287 0.110474 0.260831
2026-04-19 0.000947 0.002702 0.007117 0.018661 0.047383 0.113773 0.275937
2026-04-26 0.000840 0.002486 0.006763 0.018290 0.047803 0.117841 0.293261
2026-05-03 0.000756 0.002315 0.006499 0.018106 0.048652 0.122989 0.313688
2026-05-10 0.000669 0.002121 0.006140 0.017622 0.048676 0.126159 0.329707
2026-05-17 0.000639 0.002092 0.006226 0.018345 0.051924 0.137587 0.367399
2026-05-24 0.000584 0.001973 0.006043 0.018299 0.053123 0.144015 0.393201